Radley Horton
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Publications


2018

Garner, A., J. L. Weiss, A. Parris, R.E. Kopp, R. M. Horton, J. T. Overpeck, and B. P. Horton. (2018). Evolution of 21 st Century Sea-level Rise Projections. Earth’s Future, 
LINK HERE

Mankin, J. S., Seager, R., Smerdon, J. E., Cook, B. I., Williams, A. P., & Horton, R. M. (2018). Blue Water Trade‐Offs With Vegetation in a CO2‐Enriched Climate. Geophysical Research Letters, 45(7), 3115-3125.
LINK HERE

Li, T., Horton, R. M., Bader, D. A., Liu, F., Sun, Q., & Kinney, P. L. (2018). Long-term projections of temperature-related mortality risks for ischemic stroke, hemorrhagic stroke, and acute ischemic heart disease under changing climate in Beijing, China. Environment International, 112, 1-9.
LINK HERE

2017
Coffel, E. D., Horton, R. M., & de Sherbinin, A. (2017). Temperature and humidity based projections of a rapid rise in global heat stress exposure during the 21st century. Environmental Research Letters, 13(1), 014001.
LINK HERE

Lesk, C., Coffel, E., D’Amato, A. W., Dodds, K., & Horton, R. (2017). Threats to North American forests from southern pine beetle with warming winters. Nature Climate Change. 
LINK HERE

Kopp, R. E., DeConto, R. M., Bader, D. A., Hay, C. C., Horton, R. M., Kulp, S., ... & Strauss, B. H. (2017). Evolving Understanding of Antarctic Ice‐Sheet Physics and Ambiguity in Probabilistic Sea‐Level Projections. Earth's Future.
LINK HERE

Raymond, C., Singh, D., & Horton, R. M. (2017). Spatiotemporal Patterns and Synoptics of Extreme Wet‐Bulb Temperature in the Contiguous United States. Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres, 122(24).
LINK HERE

Coffel, E. D., Thompson, T. R., & Horton, R. M. (2017). The impacts of rising temperatures on aircraft takeoff performance. Climatic Change, 1-8. 
LINK HERE

Sweet, W. V., Kopp, R. E., Weaver, C. P., Obeysekera, J., Horton, R. M., Thieler, E. R., & Zervas, C. (2017). Global and regional sea level rise scenarios for the United States.
LINK HERE

Huang, H., Winter, J. M., Osterberg, E. C., Horton, R. M., & Beckage, B. (2017). Total and extreme precipitation changes over the Northeastern United States. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 18(6), 1783-1798. 
LINK HERE

Mankin, J. S., Viviroli, D., Mekonnen, M. M., Hoekstra, A. Y., Horton, R. M., Smerdon, J. E., & Diffenbaugh, N. S. (2017). Influence of internal variability on population exposure to hydroclimatic changes. Environmental Research Letters, 12(4), 044007. 
LINK HERE
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Chen, K., Horton, R. M., Bader, D. A., Lesk, C., Jiang, L., Jones, B., ... & Kinney, P. L. (2017). Impact of climate change on heat-related mortality in Jiangsu Province, China. Environmental pollution, 224, 317-325. 
LINK HERE

2016

Horton, R. M., Mankin, J. S., Lesk, C., Coffel, E., & Raymond, C. (2016). A Review of Recent Advances in Research on Extreme Heat Events. Current Climate Change Reports, 2(4), 242-259. 
LINK HERE

Lentz, E., E.R. Thieler, N.G. Plant, S.R. Stippa, R.M. Horton, and D.B. Gesch (2016), Evaluation of dynamic coastal response to sea-level rise modifies inundation likelihood, Nature Climate Change. 
LINK HERE

Chao-Yuan, Y., Liu, J., Hu, Y., Horton, R. M., Chen, L., & Cheng, X. (2016). Assessment of Arctic and Antarctic sea ice predictability in CMIP5 decadal hindcasts. The Cryosphere, 10(5), 2429. 
LINK HERE

Ruane, A. C., Teichmann, C., Arnell, N. W., Carter, T. R., Ebi, K. L., Frieler, K., ... & Lotze, H. K. (2016) The Vulnerability, Impacts, Adaptation and Climate Services Advisory Board (VIACS AB v1. 0) contribution to CMIP6. Geoscientific Model Development, 9(9), 3493. 
LINK HERE

Petkova, Elisaveta P., et al. "Towards more comprehensive projections of urban heat-related mortality: estimates for New York City under multiple population, adaptation, and climate scenarios." Environmental health perspectives (2016).
LINK HERE

Solecki, William, et al. "NEW YORK, USA." Cities on a Finite Planet: Towards Transformative Responses to Climate Change (2016): 169.
LINK HERE

Sarofim, M. C., et al. Ch. 2: Temperature-Related Death and Illness. US Global Change Research Program, Washington, DC, 2016.
LINK HERE

Coffel, Ethan D., and Radley M. Horton. "Reply to “Comment on ‘Climate Change and the Impact of Extreme Temperatures on Aviation’”." Weather, Climate, and Society 8.2 (2016): 207-208.

Horton, Radley, et al. "Climate science for decision‐making in the New York metropolitan region." Climate in Context: Science and Society Partnering for Adaptation (2016): 51-72.
LINK HERE

Li, Tiantian, et al. "Aging will amplify the heat-related mortality risk under a changing climate: projection for the elderly in Beijing, China." Scientific reports 6 (2016).
LINK HERE

Lentz, Erika E., et al. "Evaluation of dynamic coastal response to sea-level rise modifies inundation likelihood." Nature Climate Change (2016).

Winter, Jonathan M., et al. "Development and Evaluation of High-Resolution Climate Simulations over the Mountainous Northeastern United States."Journal of Hydrometeorology 17.3 (2016): 881-896.

​Ngo, Nicole S., and Radley M. Horton. "Climate change and fetal health: The impacts of exposure to extreme temperatures in New York City."Environmental research 144 (2016): 158-164.

2015

Schwartz, Joel D., et al. "Projections of temperature-attributable premature deaths in 209 US cities using a cluster-based Poisson approach."Environmental Health 14.1 (2015): 1.
LINK HERE

Horton, R. M., Coffel, E. D., Winter, J. M., & Bader, D. A. (2015). Projected changes in extreme temperature events based on the NARCCAP model suite.Geophysical Research Letters
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LINK HERE

Li, T., Ban, J., Horton, R. M., Bader, D. A., Huang, G., Sun, Q., & Kinney, P. L. (2015). Heat-related mortality projections for cardiovascular and respiratory disease under the changing climate in Beijing, China. Scientific reports, 5.
​LINK HERE

Horton, R.M., D. Bader, Y.Kushnir, C. Little, R. Blake, and C. Rosenzweig (2015). Climate Observations and Projections.  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1336 (1), 18-35
LINK HERE

Horton, R.M., C. Little, V. Gornitz, D. Bader, and M. Oppenheimer (2015). Sea Level Rise and Coastal Storms.  Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1336 (1), 36-44.
LINK HERE

Liu, J., Song, M., Horton, R. M., & Hu, Y. (2015). Revisiting the potential of melt pond fraction as a predictor for the seasonal Arctic sea ice extent     minimum.Environmental Research Letters, 10(5), 054017.
LINK HERE

Little, C., R.M. Horton, R. Kopp, M. Oppenheimer, and S. Yip (2015): Uncertainty in 21st Century CMIP5 Sea Level Projections.  Journal of Climate 28 (2), 838-852.
LINK HERE

Coffel, E., & Horton, R. (2015). Climate change and the impact of extreme temperatures on aviation. Weather, Climate, and Society, 7(1), 94-102. 
LINK HERE

Horton, Radley, et al. "New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 ReportChapter 1: Climate Observations and Projections." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1336.1 (2015): 18-35.
LINK HERE

Horton, Radley, et al. "New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 report chapter 2: Sea level rise and coastal storms." Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1336.1 (2015): 36-44.
LINK HERE

Orton, P., Vinogradov, S., Georgas, N., Blumberg, A., Lin, N., Gornitz, V., ... & Horton, R. (2015). New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 Report Chapter 4: Dynamic Coastal Flood Modeling. Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences, 1336(1), 56-66.
LINK HERE

Horton, Radley. "Joint Hazard Assessment for Urban Decision-Makers in the Northeastern United States." 2015 AGU Fall Meeting. Agu, 2015.

Wobus, Cameron, et al. "Using Dynamically Downscaled Climate Model Outputs to Inform Projections of Extreme Precipitation Events." (2015).

Little, Christopher M., et al. "Joint projections of US East Coast sea level and storm surge." 
Nature Climate Change 5.12 (2015): 1114-1120.
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Solecki, William, et al. "Climate change and infrastructure adaptation in coastal New York City." Climate Change and the Coast: Building Resilient Communities. CRC Press Boca Raton, FL, USA, 2014. 543.

Anandhi, A. A., et al. "What changes do the CMIP5 climate models predict for South Asia and what are some potential impacts on managed ecosystems and water resources." 
ASABE 1st Climate Change Symposium: Adaptation and Mitigation Conference Proceedings. American Society of Agricultural and Biological Engineers, 2015.

Horton, Radley, et al. "New York City Panel on Climate Change 2015 report chapter 2: Sea level rise and coastal storms." 
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1336.1 (2015): 36-44.

Lentz, Erika E., et al. 
Evaluating coastal landscape response to sea-level rise in the northeastern United States: approach and methods. No. 2014-1252. US Geological Survey, 2015.

2014 

Horton, R. M., & Liu, J. (2014). Beyond Hurricane Sandy: What Might the Future Hold for Tropical Cyclones in the North Atlantic? Journal of Extreme Events, 1(01).
LINK HERE

Horton, R., G. Yohe, W. Easterling, R. Kates, M. Ruth, E. Sussman, A. Whelchel, D. Wolfe, and F. Lipschultz, 2014: Ch. 16: Northeast. Climate Change Impacts in the United States: The Third National Climate Assessment, J. M. Melillo, Terese (T.C.) Richmond, and G. W. Yohe, Eds., U.S. Global Change Research Program, 16-1–16-nn.
LINK HERE

 Rosenzweig, C., Horton, R. M., Bader, D. A., Brown, M. E., DeYoung, R., Dominguez, O., ... & Toufectis, K. (2014). Enhancing Climate Resilience at NASA Centers: A Collaboration between Science and Stewardship. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 95(9), 1351-1363.
LINK HERE

Kopp, R. E., Horton, R. M., Little, C. M., Mitrovica, J. X., Oppenheimer, M., Rasmussen, D. J., ... & Tebaldi, C. (2014). Probabilistic 21st and 22nd century sea‐level projections at a global network of tide‐gauge sites. Earth's Future,2(8), 383-406.
LINK HERE

Petkova, E. P., Bader, D. A., Anderson, G. B., Horton, R. M., Knowlton, K., & Kinney, P. L. (2014). Heat-related mortality in a warming climate: Projections for 12 US cities. International journal of environmental research and public health,11(11), 11371-11383.
LINK HERE

Guilbert, J., Beckage, B., Winter, J. M., Horton, R. M., Perkins, T., & Bomblies, A. (2014). Impacts of Projected Climate Change over the Lake Champlain Basin in Vermont. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology, 53(8), 1861-1875.
LINK HERE

Solecki, W., Rosenzweig, C., Gornitz, V., Horton, R., Major, D. C., Patrick, L., & Zimmerman, R. (2014). Climate change and infrastructure adaptation in coastal New York City. Climate Change and the Coast: Building Resilient Communities, 125.
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LINK HERE

Glavovic, Bruce, et al., eds. Climate change and the coast: building resilient communities. CRC Press, 2014.
LINK HERE

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Snyder, Steven, et al. "City-Wide Collaborations for Urban Climate Education." (2014).

Liu, Jiping, et al. "Reply to Li and Wu: Arctic sea ice and winter snowfall (vol 109, pg E1899, 2012)." 
PROCEEDINGS OF THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF SCIENCES OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA 111.5 (2014): E530-E530.

Thieler, E. Robert, et al. "A research and decision support framework to evaluate sea-level rise impacts in the northeastern US." (2014).

Keith, Bruce, et al. "Estimating the effect of climate change on the hydrology of the Nile River in the 21st century." 
International System Dynamics Conference. 2014.

Horton, Radley M., et al. 
Climate Change in New York State Updating the 2011 ClimAID Climate Risk Information Supplement to NYSERDA Report 11-18 (Responding to Climate Change in New York State). 2014.

GORNITZ, Vivien, et al. "TOWARD A MORE AQUATIC FUTURE: RISING SEAS AND COASTAL STORMS IN NEW YORK CITY." 
2014 GSA Annual Meeting in Vancouver, British Columbia. 2014.

Horton, R. M., E. Coffel, and Y. Kushnir. "Investigating Extreme Heat and Humidity in the Northeast United States from a Joint Hazard Perspective."
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2014.

Lentz, E. E., et al. "Assessment of the Coastal Landscape Response to Sea-Level Rise Using a Decision-Support Framework." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2014.

Tillinger, Debra, R. Horton, and J. LIU. "Emergent Predictability in the Northern Hemisphere Associated with Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2014.

Kopp III, R. E., et al. "Probabilistic Projections of Future Sea-Level Change and Their Implications for Flood Risk Management: Insights from the American Climate Prospectus." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2014.

2013

Li, T., Horton, R. M., & Kinney, P. L. (2013). Projections of seasonal patterns in temperature related deaths for Manhattan, New York. Nature Climate Change. 
LINK HERE

Liu, J., Song, M., Horton, R. M., & Hu, Y. (2013). Reducing spread in climate model projections of a September ice-free Arctic. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 110(31), 12571-12576.

LINK HERE

Rosenzweig, C. and  R.M. Horton. The Programme on Vulnerability, Impacts and Adaptation (PROVIA) Global Research Priorities, United Nations Environmental Programme Report 
LINK HERE

Barsugli, J. J., Guentchev, G., Horton, R., and others (2013). The Practitioner's Dilemma: How to Assess the Credibility of Downscaled Climate Projections. Eos, Transactions American Geophysical Union, 94(46), 424-425.
LINK HERE

Ahmed, K.F., G. Wang, J. Silander, A.M. Wilson, J.M. Allen, R. Horton, and R. Anyah, 2013: Statistical downscaling and bias correction of climate model outputs for climate change impact assessment in the U.S. northeast. Glob. Planet. Change, 100, 320-332.
LINK HERE

Petkova, E. P., Horton, R. M., Bader, D. A., & Kinney, P. L. (2013). Projected Heat-Related Mortality in the US Urban Northeast. International journal of environmental research and public health, 10(12), 6734-6747.

LINK HERE

Major, D. C., Gornitz, V., Horton, R., Bader, D., Solecki, W., & Rosenzweig, C. (2013). Climate Adaptation in New York City. Climate Adaptation and Flood Risk in Coastal Cities, 265.
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LINK HERE

Horton, R. M., et al. "Anticipating Future Sea Level Rise and Coastal Storms in New York City." AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2013.

Ruane, Alex C., et al. "Climate change impact uncertainties for maize in Panama: Farm information, climate projections, and yield sensitivities."Agricultural and Forest Meteorology 170 (2013): 132-145.

​Ruane, Alex C., et al. "Multi-factor impact analysis of agricultural production in Bangladesh with climate change." Global environmental change 23.1 (2013): 338-350.

Rosenzweig, C., and R. M. Horton. "Research Priorities on Vulnerability, Impacts and Adaptation: Responding to the Climate Change Challenge."
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2013.

Horton, R. M., J. LIU, and D. Tillinger. "Emergent Predictability in the Northern Hemisphere Associated with Arctic Sea Ice Anomalies." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2013.

Little, C. M., et al. "Characterizing uncertainty in CMIP5 projections of local sea level change." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2013.

​Rosenzweig, C., et al. "Providing rapid climate risk assessments to support cities." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2013.

2012

Liu, J., J. A. Curry, H. Wang, M. Song, and R. M. Horton. 2012. Impact of declining Arctic sea ice on winter snowfall. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences USA 109 (2012).
LINK HERE

Ruane, A.C., L.D. Cecil, R.M. Horton, R. Gordón, R. McCollum, D. Brown, B. Killough, R. Goldberg, A.P. Greeley, and C. Rosenzweig, 2012: Climate change impact uncertainties for maize in Panama: Farm information, climate projections, and yield sensitivities. Agr. Forest Meteorol., in press, doi:10.1016/j.agrformet.2011.10.015.
LINK HERE

Ruane, A.C., D.C. Major, W.H. Yu, M. Alam, S.G. Hussain, A.S. Khan, A. Hassan, B.M.T. Al Hossain, R. Goldberg, R.M. Horton, and C. Rosenzweig, 2012: Multi-factor impact analysis of agricultural production in Bangladesh with climate change. Glob. Environ. Change, in press, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2012.09.001.
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LINK HERE
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Major, David C., et al. "Climate Adaptation in New York City." Climate Adaptation and Flood Risk in Coastal Cities. Earthscan Climate from Routledge Oxford, 2012.
LINK HERE

Parris, A., P. Bromirski, V. Burkett, D. Cayan, M. Culver, J. Hall, R. Horton, K. Knuuti, R. Moss, J. Obeysekera, A. Sallenger, and J. Weiss. 2012. Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1. 37 pp._

Liu, Jiping, et al. "Reply to Li and Wu: Arctic sea ice and winter snowfall."Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences 109.28 (2012): E1899-E1900.

Horton, R. M., et al. "Extreme Temperatures and Their Mechanisms in NARCCAP Simulations." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2012.

Parris, Adam, et al. "Scenario Planning for Coastal Adaptation." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2012.

Gornitz, V., et al. "Sea Level Rise, Rainfall and Coastal Flooding in Northeastern US Cities Vivien Gornitz, Radley Horton, Philip Orton, Nickitas Georgas, Alan Blumberg, and Cynthia Rosenzweig." 
AGU Fall Meeting Abstracts. Vol. 1. 2012.


2011

Horton, R.M., V. Gornitz, D.A. Bader, A.C. Ruane, R. Goldberg, and C. Rosenzweig, 2011: Climate hazard assessment for stakeholder adaptation planning in New York City. J. Appl. Meteorol. Climatol., 50, 2247-2266, doi:10.1175/2011JAMC2521.1.
LINK HERE

Horton, R., D. Bader, L. Tryhorn, A. DeGataetano, and C. Rosenzweig, 2011: Climate risks. In Responding to Climate Change in New York State: The ClimAID Integrated Assessment for Effective Climate Change Adaptation: Technical Report. C. Rosenzweig, W. Solecki, A. DeGaetano, M. O'Grady, S. Hassol, and P. Grabhorn, Eds. New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, pp. 15-48.
(INDIVIDUAL CHAPTER LINKS NOT AVAILABLE) 
LINK TO FULL BOOK:
Responding to Climate Change in New York State: The ClimAID Integrated Assessment for Effective Climate Change Adaptation: Technical Report

C. Rosenzweig, W. D. Solecki, R. Blake, M. Bowman, C. Faris, V. Gornitz, R. M. Horton, and others, 2011, Developing Coastal Adaptation to Climate Change in New York City Infrastructure-shed: process, approach, tools, and strategies, Climatic Change Challenges and Opportunities, Climatic Change, 106 (1), pp. 93-127, DOI: 10.1007/s10584-010-0002-8.
LINK HERE

Jacob, K., N. Maxemchuk, G. Deodatis, A. Morla, E. Schlossberg, I. Paung, M. Lopeman, R. Horton, D. Bader, R. Leichenko, P. Vancura, and Y. Klein, 2011: Telecommunications. In Responding to Climate Change in New York State: The ClimAID Integrated Assessment for Effective Climate Change Adaptation: Technical Report. C. Rosenzweig, W. Solecki, A. DeGaetano, M. O'Grady, S. Hassol, and P. Grabhorn, Eds. New York State Energy Research and Development Authority, pp. 363-396.
(INDIVIDUAL CHAPTER LINKS NOT AVAILABLE) 
LINK TO FULL BOOK:
Responding to Climate Change in New York State: The ClimAID Integrated Assessment for Effective Climate Change Adaptation: Technical Report

Major, David C., et al. Mainstreaming Climate Change Adaptation Strategies into New York State Department of Transportation’s Operations: Final Report. No. Research Project No. C-08-09. 2011.
LINK HERE

Blake, R., et al. "Urban climate: Processes, trends, and projections." Climate change and cities: first assessment report of the Urban Climate Change Research Network (2011): 43-81.

2010

Horton, R. M., V. Gornitz, and M. Bowman, 2010, Climate Observations and Projections, in Climate Change Adaptation in NYC: Building a Risk Management Response. C. Rosenzweig & W. Solecki, Eds. Annals of the N.Y. Acad. of Sci. 2010 (1185). NY, NY. 349 pp.
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LINK HERE


Horton, R.M., C. Rosenzweig, V. Ramaswamy, P.L. Kinney, R. Mathur, J. Pleim, and S.T. Rao, 2010, Integrated Climate Change Information for Resilient Adaptation Planning, EM Magazine, November 2010.
LINK HERE

Jacob, K., R. Blake, R. M. Horton, D. Bader, and M. O’Grady, 2010, Indicators and Monitoring, in Climate Change Adaptation in New York City: Building a Risk Management Response. C. Rosenzweig & W. Solecki, Eds. Annals of the N.Y. Academy of Sci. 2010 (1185). NY, NY. 349 pp
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LINK HERE

2008

Horton, R. M., C. Herweijer, C. Rosenzweig, J. Liu, V. Gornitz, and A. C. Ruane, 2008, Sea level rise projections for current generation CGCMs based on the semi-empirical method, Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L02715, doi:10.1029/2007GL032486.
LINK HERE


Alcorn, J.M., C. E. Rosenzweig, R. M. Horton, and I.S. Higuchi, Jr., 2008, U.S. Space Transportation and Climate Change: Potential Impacts of Climate Change on Access to Space, ASCE Conf. Proc. 323, 130 (2008), DOI:10.1061/40988(323)130
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LINK HERE

2007

Horton, R. M., 2007: An Observational and Modeling Study of the Regional Impacts of Climate Variability. Ph.D. thesis. Columbia University.
LINK HERE

Liu, J., J. A. Curry, Y. Dai, and R. M. Horton, 2007: Causes of the northern high-latitude land surface winter climate change, Geophys. Res. Lett., 34, L14702, doi:10.1029/2007GL030196.
LINK HERE

Liu, J., Z. Zhang, R. M. Horton, C. Wang, 2007: Variability of north Pacific sea ice and east Asia-north Pacific winter climate, Journal of Climate, 20, 1991-2001.
LINK HERE

Liu, J., Z. Zhang, J. Inoue, and R. M. Horton, 2007: Evaluation of snow/ice albedo parameterizations and their impacts on sea ice simulation, Intl. Journal of Climatology, 27, 81-91.
LINK HERE

Rosenzweig, C., D. C. Major, K. Demong, C. Stanton, R. M. Horton, and M. Stults, 2007: Managing Climate Change Risks in New York City’s water system: assessment and adaptation planning, Mitigation & Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, doi:10.1007/s11027-006-9070-5.
​LINK HERE